Wednesday, 28 July 2021

Besieged and starved: How 'the wheel of life' has stopped in Syria's Daraa












  'As the people of the Daraa al-Balad area remain at loggerheads with the Syrian régime and Russian forces, the residents are being starved of food and medicine while also deprived of education and other basic amenities over their refusal to participate in Assad’s “farce” elections.

 Since May, Daraa has been under siege by the Bashar al-Assad régime.

 Daraa al-Balad consists of several neighbourhoods, Palestinian refugee camps as well as camps for those displaced in the occupied Syrian Golan. There are also agricultural farms within the two to the three-kilometre area, but many have moved their operations, fearing bombardment by régime forces.



 Blocked off from medical attention, the elderly and children faint from the heat, as access to treatment for serious illnesses is barred.

 “A woman passed away while she was giving birth because she was prevented from entering the hospital,” says local businessman and family man Mohamed Zatima.

 He says that the Russians even go as far as to block off veterinary supplies to the area. “A siege by the Russians and the régime on Daraa al-Balad is not limited to humans, but even to animals,” he comments.

 Coronavirus is also a cause for alarm, as cases are rising and victims of the deadly disease cannot enter the hospital in the city centre.



 Local father-of-six Abu Abdullah, 55, who is now out of work due to poor health, describes life in besieged Daraa as tragic and difficult under a “suffocating blockade”.

 Having undergone an open-heart surgery eight months ago, he needs access to hard-to-get medicine, which is now impossible. “There is medicine I will have to cut out due to the lack of it, no presence of doctors, and my inability to buy it on the black market,” he says.

 He continues: “There is no water, no electricity, no way to go to hospitals and doctors in the régime’s area from medical laboratories, radiology or service centres.”

 Abu’s surgery cost him SYP 6 million ($4,770), and he had to seek the help of friends: “With the help of good people, I was able to pay for the operation.” He bears scars on his chest and legs from surgery, where arteries were transplanted to his heart, and he suffered injuries from régime attacks.

 Not only do the people of Daraa lose out on lifesaving medicine, but also the everyday basics. Starved of food and drink as energy runs low, work has dried up in the area. Cut off from the Daraa city centre, where the markets and modern shops are, the 11,000 families in Daraa al-Balad cannot access what they need.

 “[There is] no work, no income, and no minimum supply of food, oil, gas, and energy,” Abu says. “Life since the régime’s control has become much worse than before, previously and despite the war, medicine was still available at least. Now the wheel of life has stopped,” he says.


 The Syrian régime and Russian planes fly low over the neighbourhoods, frightening children, causing great anxiety, and making it impossible for them to continue their education.

 “I have four children who were prevented from entering schools and practising their hobbies," says Mohamed Zatima. "Due to the Russian jets which fly over the neighbourhoods at a low level, the children suffer from anxiety which has affected their behaviour.”

 Abu Abdullah says his daughters are unable to complete their education, due to the fact they are blocked off from schools in régime territory, and his other children are unable to work. “My children are deprived of their human rights, they have neither work nor study,” he says.

 Despite the siege, local activists continue to protest against the régime’s blockade, and the presidential elections, known as “the farce”. Untrusting the Russians, the local governing bodies have rejected the most recent deal put forward.

 Local activist Loranc Alakrad explains, “Russia asked us to hand over light weapons, 200 Kalashnikov rifles and 20 machine guns, but the response of the civil committee was that we do not have these weapons, and it cannot be delivered – this request was completely rejected.”


 Local protests demand the release of detainees, and the implementation of certain clauses in the July 2018 agreement that have not yet materialised, including the removal of militias and the return of the army – which has taken up residents in civilian homes and shops – to its barracks, the return of students to their schools and universities, and employees to their jobs.

 Loranc describes the blockade as revenge, pure and simple. “Regarding what happened in Daraa al-Balad, it is revenge for its rejection of Bashar al-Assad's elections – a child killer and a user of chemical weapons against his people,” he explains.

 Loranc, who is part of the peaceful protest movement in Daraa al-Balad, has faced assassination attempts from régime operatives, including a bombing attempt. He survived an attempted kidnapping in Daraa City after he managed to escape with his friends.

 Formerly a rebel stronghold, the régime retook the city in July 2018 and subjected the residents to what Loranc calls an attempt to humiliate and crush the spirit.

 “The demonstrations in fact did not stop in Daraa al-Balad, but transformed the settlement agreement in July 2018 from an agreement of humiliation and breaking the will of the people into steadfastness, glory and pride,” he says. “[We] turned this defeat into victory, and turned this defeat into pride and glory for every rebel who remained in Daraa al-Balad. In 2011 until today, the demonstrations did not subside.”

 He continues: “Yes, of course, the people of Daraa will continue to resist, and they have said no to handing over weapons or searching homes.”



 As the siege continues on the city, the residents can only speculate what will happen next. Will the régime launch a brutal offensive? Or will it simply continue its siege until the locals are starved out?

 “The régime and the Russians are still besieging the neighbourhoods of Daraa al-Balad, and in light of the arrival of new reinforcements, this suggests the possibility of a storming and massacre against us,” Mohamed Zatima explains.

 He fears an offensive against the people of Daraa, however, others don’t.

 “We are almost dead and there is no deterrent to him after the world abandoned us and his possession to all kinds of power and with the support of regional and global powers,” Abu Abdullah says. “This is a method of starvation and siege… and punishing a people for just an opinion.”


 Mohamed Zatima says if Assad stood in front of him, he would call him a child killer and a war criminal.

 He dreams of a better Syria, and rather than migrate to Europe, he has hope that Syria can achieve democracy: “I do not want to emigrate, but I want my country to become like the countries of Europe in terms of respect for human beings and appreciation of humanity. Syria is our country and the country of our ancestors.”

 Abu Abdullah on the other hand would want to migrate, striving for a decent future for his children. He would tell Assad to leave them in peace: “Leave and let us heal our wounds, for we have been exhausted by the war.” '



Sunday, 25 July 2021

Syria: Will the West Ever Take Its Strategic Defeat Seriously?












Nicolas Tenzer:

'It is often difficult to shake off the impression that everything has already been written about Syria. Since the beginning of the war in 2011, which is now entering its eleventh year, and even more so since the fall of Aleppo, all but those who do not want to see or understand anything, not to mention the propagandists of Assad and the Kremlin, know what is going on: there will be no peace in Syria as long as the régime does not fall and as long as Russian and Iranian troops remain there to protect it.


 I am not going to recall here the balance sheet, still provisional, of the war in Syria: probably more than a million dead, of which more than 90% can be attributed to the Assad régime, crimes of humanity that still persist in the prisons where more than 100,000 people remain detained and where torture and summary executions are the rule, about 12 million displaced people, half of them outside the country, Russian war crimes, still, which have caused more civilian victims than even those of IS, a destroyed country under the rule of a predatory mafia and a testing ground for new Russian weapons, but also for propaganda, first of all from the Kremlin, which is probably the most repugnant ever—and sometimes murderous.

 If—let us never forget this obvious fact—the most abominable consequences are for the Syrian people, the international system has been critically affected. This was, moreover, one of the blinding intentions of one of the parties involved: Putin’s régime. Tragically bogged down in their lack of understanding, most Western leaders have still not understood this.

 In fact, the war in Syria has produced the implosion from within of an already damaged but still somewhat functional UN system. It has affected not only the Security Council, paralyzed by the 16 Russian and often Chinese vetoes, but also certain agencies that have, in fact, made a pact with the régime, the latest turpitude being the election of Syria to the WHO executive board, even though it is guilty, along with Russia, of the deliberate attack on hospitals, health centers and rescue workers. The recent agreement reached at the UN on a very partial, one-point, and temporary opening on the delivery of emergency humanitarian aid to the millions of refugees in Idlib province is, alas, just another rout, even though better than nothing. At least the Western powers have not generally had the indecency this time to create victory.

 Let us not forget the primary fact: although with less intensity than two or three years ago, the massacres committed by Assad and Putin continue: a dozen children killed in recent weeks and rescue workers targeted according to the repeated technique of “double tap”: a first strike hits civilians and a second targets the rescue workers who have rushed to the scene.

 So, at times, we hoped: Antony Blinken has said some strong and deeply heartfelt words about Obama’s failings, and it’s all too clear that the failure to save hundreds of thousands of people haunts him. We also know that the Biden administration will not sacrifice Syria to a new, uncertain deal with Iran and that the two dimensions are untied for him. But there is no sense today of resolve to act on Syria. The question is not only moral, but strategic.



1. There is no diplomatic solution to the Syrian conflict.

 Let’s leave aside the empty and indecent diplomatic words: if there was a diplomatic solution, it would have been found long ago. The consequence must be drawn: there is a military solution to the conflict in Syria. If we are ready to give our enemies the monopoly of force, we will have lost.

 2. The main issue is not humanitarian aid, but the domination of a criminal régime and its Russian and Iranian allies.

 We must immediately—and categorically—save the Syrian people, who are facing the worst humanitarian crisis in the world, along with the Yemeni people. We must do everything to open humanitarian corridors and save, save, and save. But as long as the Assad régime is there, we will not have solved anything and the humanitarian crises will continue.

 3. What explains the major failure of the West so far is not our impotence, but our lack of will.

 To speak, indeed, of the West’s impotence when one sees the capacity for military action of the United States, the United Kingdom, France and certain Gulf countries that are members of the Coalition against the Islamic State, is a nasty joke. We have not, we are not, powerless, but we have refused to act and save the lives of hundreds of thousands of people. We have also allowed three criminal régimes to act according to their absolute will.

 4. The UN is not the solution to the Syrian conflict and the régime's crimes against humanity.

 From the moment when two powers block the Security Council and when the UN agencies, especially on the ground, sometimes seem to be unable to fight against the diversion of humanitarian aid by the Assad régime, we must draw the consequences. I already wrote this five years ago, sometimes provoking some controversies: “But you cannot marginalize the UN, the keystone of the international system”. Without doubt, it is necessary to do so, albeit with regret and in the hope of better days. No intervention will be decided by the UN against the Assad régime; the New York-based organization will always refuse to refer him and his henchmen to the International Criminal Court. The UN, in fact, serves today as an alibi for inaction.

 5. The fight against the Assad régime is as important as the fight against ISIS.

 Some heads of state and government pretend in their official speeches to consider that the main enemy is ISIS and that this is the priority fight. No one, of course, will responsibly support the absurd and dangerous thesis that the total eradication of ISIS is not an imperative. But can we consider, on the pretext that Assad is formally head of state, even though not recognized as such by most of the democratic countries, that his crimes are lesser, less abominable, and that, let us never forget, he has not himself made a pact with ISIS by releasing jihadists from its prisons? Should we close our eyes to the fact that the all-out murderous repression by his régime, the total de-education of the majority of the country’s children, the resentment left by the absence of action by the West, prepare the terrorist movements of tomorrow? Our fight will only be coherent if it is twofold: against ISIS and other Islamist terrorist groups, and against Assad.


 6. The war is not over in Syria.

 A dual war is actually still going on. First, as mentioned, Assad’s and Russia’s war against the Syrian people continues in the areas not occupied by the régime and which it intends to retake. Second, Assad has not won the war: in these areas, but sometimes also in those controlled by the régime, Syrians continue to fight, even if the space left to them is reduced. Dissatisfaction with the régime, not to say hatred for it, is still there, fueled by an economic and social crisis that plunges the people into grinding poverty and increases resentment against the profiteers of a corrupt régime.

 7. We must act with all powers in the region against the Assad régime.

 We have missed many opportunities for two main reasons. First, often out of fear of “provoking” Moscow—the same scenario applied in Georgia and Ukraine—we failed to seize the opportunity that at one point Turkey appeared to offer. Instead, our irresolution pushed Erdoğan into Putin’s arms. Of course, no one will claim that the man is without reproach and crimes—we will come back to this in this blog—but at some point our interests may have coincided. The same is true of the Gulf States that are members of the coalition, which the West, and first the United States under Obama and then under Trump, have left without a clear political direction. It would be dramatic if Joe Biden repeated the same mistake.

 8. As a corollary to the previous proposal, the United States and the European Union, including France in particular, must use all their means to dissuade the Gulf States from recognizing the Assad régime.

 I have often insisted on this idea: we cannot allow these countries to conclude separate agreements with this régime, as if to recreate an alliance of “strong régimes” in the region. The path opened by the United Arab Emirates is dangerous and could only go against the interests of these countries, especially in view of the destabilization of the entire region by Iran. This also applies to Israel, where the Netanyahu government was tempted to accommodate Assad and thought it could ally itself with Putin against Iran. The Israeli government must be urged to adopt a position that is both more dignified—Netanyahu’s position had in fact aroused indignation in some quarters in Israel—and more realistic.

 9. Putin’s Russia is not part of the solution, but the essence of the problem.

 Beyond Obama’s moral fault, his main strategic failure was to let Russia take over Syrian affairs from the fall of 2015. This major mistake has, moreover, had consequences for the strengthening of the Putin régime’s positions in Europe. Now, the first reality in Syria is that Moscow is the primary blocking point. One will always remember the disastrous exhortations of certain countries at the worst moment of the war who asked the Kremlin to “put pressure on Assad” so that he “shows more restraint”, while Putin’s Russia was committing almost as many crimes as Damascus and was doing everything to encourage him. The Russian lock on Syria must therefore be broken. Going beyond the United Nations could help.

 10. We will not solve the crisis in Lebanon without ending the conflict in Syria.

 Most analysts are clear: the Syrian régime, even if it no longer has total control over Beirut, is omnipresent there, notably in corruption enterprises, in trade, notably in ports, and in currency exchange systems. Trying to put an end to the crisis in Lebanon is futile as long as the Assad régime is in power, or at least as long as it is not permanently weakened.


 11. After Russia, Iran is the major problem in Syria.

 We probably do not need to insist on it here: Tehran largely controls Syria with ground forces and networks that are much more powerful than those of Russia, even if the latter has more of a “diplomatic” role and greater air control. Syria is one of the major fields of Iran’s destabilization of the Middle East, along with Lebanon, Palestine, Iraq and Yemen. If Moscow and Tehran are fighting for control of the Syrian economy or what remains of it, politically it would be a major misjudgment to separate the two.

 12. We must, if we cannot refer Syria to the International Criminal Court, establish a special international tribunal for Syria.

 Since Russia and China will always oppose referral to the ICC and Syria is not a party to the Rome Treaty, we must find another way. The Allies, along with as many other countries as possible, must indicate, on the basis of fully documented and damning cases, a decision to prosecute Assad and his cronies for crimes against humanity and war crimes. They must all be subject to an international arrest warrant. A special tribunal should be set up to judge all the crimes committed in Syria, including of course by ISIS, other terrorist groups and Russian and Iranian armed forces and militias.

 13. As a corollary, we must lift all remaining restrictions in some countries on the universal jurisdiction of criminal courts.

 As incomplete, limited and partial as it may be, the Koblenz trial has shown the importance of universal jurisdiction, which allows national courts to judge crimes committed elsewhere. These trials, which will also open in other European countries, allow not only the prosecution of presumed criminals, but also the establishment of their crimes and the bringing of them to light. However, some countries, including France, still have legislation that is too restrictive in terms of opening up to universal jurisdiction. It must be urgently modified.

 14. The European Union must urgently establish a Caesar Act on the model of the one instituted in the United States.

 The American Caesar Act allows sanctions to be imposed on any company or entity that trades in any way with the Syrian régime. Besides the fact that such trade, given what the régime is, is impossible without corruption, it allows its dignitaries to enrich themselves. Imposing a total ban on trade with the régime—except for humanitarian aid, as provided for in the American law—would also make it possible to target certain companies, including Russian and Chinese companies, which participate in this pact of corruption—the visit of Chinese MFA to Syria, where he unsurprisingly condemned régime change, is part of the picture that should be taken into consideration. This would make it impossible to do business with European countries.

 15. Heads of state and government in North America and Europe must name the war crimes of the Russian and Iranian leaders.



 Finally—I have insisted on this recently on this blog—democratic leaders must not only not be afraid to name the imprescriptible crimes committed by the principals and enforcers of these régimes, they must do so. We must be clear that there is no impunity for major crimes. On a symbolic level, this would be a major sign. Not to do so would also be a bad omen.

 These few clear principles govern our understanding of the crisis in Syria and allow us to take the measure of the necessary action. The West has so far let Putin’s régime set the agenda in Syria and given it the ability to impose its own game. Our lack of intelligence as much as our lack of will has allowed him to destroy large parts of the international system. Nor is he unaware that, in the medium and long term, the destruction of Syria will further strengthen the terrorist movements that will directly attack the West.

 But we prefer to play the lyre while the City burns from the fire we have allowed to flourish.'